The Big Short Squeeze with Willy Woo
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Location: Remotely
Date: Thursday 29th July
Project: Hypersheet
Role: Co-Founder
Since mid-May, Bitcoin has ranged between $30k-$40k, following a build-up of negative news, from bans in China to concerns about energy use. While on-chain analysis showed strong signs of accumulation during this time and pointed to the bull run not being over, the price kept grinding lower.
By July 20th, the price again dropped below $30k and held below this crucial level for the longest period since the dip began. With sentiment heavily bearish and many calling for a further dip to ~$20k, what started as a small rally turned into a $10,000+ move after shorters were forced to close their positions. The price on one futures exchange hit as high as $48k on the back of the liquidations.
Bitcoin has been sat at $40k, another crucial level, for several days now, and with on-chain metrics showing a massive influx of new entrants and FUD wearing thin, market sentiment seems to be flipping positive.
So has the bull run recommenced? And is this cycle different?
In this interview, I talk to on-chain analyst and the co-founder of Hypersheet, Willy Woo. We discuss accumulation by small holders, the recent bullish move and why this might be the last cycle.
00:05:19: Introductions
00:07:38: Price vs metrics
00:13:32: Supply shock explained
00:20:26: Recent FUD
00:24:35: Discussing cycles
00:26:38: Distribution of coins
00:37:06: Peter's bet with American HODL
00:40:57: Hypothesising endless four-year cycles
00:44:52: The Grayscale effect
00:50:21: Scare Walls
00:54:59: The network's net user growth
01:00:48: Dormancy explained
01:03:54: The little guys are buying!
01:04:22: Final comments
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Mentioned in the interview:
Bitcoin Price Surges On Massive Short Squeeze | Bitcoin Magazine
Biggest Downward Adjustment in History Sees Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Drop 28%
GBTC premium matches Bitcoin price crash levels as unlocking fear fades | Cointelegraph
Other Relevant WBD Podcasts:
WBD335: The Psychological Barrier of a $100k Bitcoin with Willy Woo
WBD327: How to Trade the End of a Bull Market with Willy Woo
WBD305: The Bitcoin Shakeout - Jan ‘21 Trading Update with Willy Woo
WBD279: The Institutional Case for Bitcoin with Dan Morehead and Mike Novogratz
WBD257: Bitcoin Has Entered Phase 5 with PlanB, Jeff Booth & Preston Pysh