Is the Bitcoin Bull Market Over? With Willy Woo
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Location: Guatemala
Date: Thursday 20th May
Project: Hypersheet
Role: Co-Founder
The last 48 hours have been one of the craziest in Bitcoin, with the price crashing -51% from its peak. Back in April, we were hovering around $60k when a significant number of miners in China went offline due to power plant disruption; after a brief selloff, prices began to recover.
Last week a tweet about Bitcoin’s energy usage from Elon Musk triggered another downturn in the market. A “tidal wave of young coins” flooded into exchanges to sell, leading to a lot of leveraged traders getting liquidated and ultimately a capitulation to around $30k.
While this dip was extreme, significant dips in a bull market are not uncommon, and bitcoin is already up around 40% from the lows. So was this just a minor blip, or does it signal the end of the bull market?
In this interview, I talk to on-chain analyst and the co-founder of Hypersheet, Willy Woo. We discuss what caused the dip, who’s buying it up, and Willy’s new price targets.
00:04:37: Introductions
00:05:48: Elon Musk prompts a sell-off
00:08:52: The bottom hit below $30,000
00:11:32: The leverage risk
00:17:09: Elon Musk
00:18:52: Whales sell, retail buys
00:23:21: Fair coin distribution
00:26:12: Not the end of the bull market
00:28:47: Price projections
00:33:05: The recovery rate
00:36:27: The whale capitulation
00:39:35: NVT explained
00:43:16: SOPR explained
00:48:09: Positive signs for the recovery
00:00:00: Final comments
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Mentioned in the interview:
How Accidents in Chinese Coal Mines Are Affecting Bitcoin Mining
Elon Musk: “Tesla has suspended vehicle purchases using Bitcoin”
Bitcoin plunges 30% to $30,000 at one point in wild session, recovers somewhat to $38,000
Coinbase and Binance’s outages show the fragility of crypto exchanges
According to Binance blog, over 60% of traders trade at a leverage of 20x or higher
Michael Saylor: “Bitcoin's Proof of Work architecture creates Seven Layers of Security”
Other Relevant WBD Podcasts:
WBD335: The Psychological Barrier of a $100k Bitcoin with Willy Woo
WBD327: How to Trade the End of a Bull Market with Willy Woo
WBD305: The Bitcoin Shakeout - Jan ‘21 Trading Update with Willy Woo
WBD279: The Institutional Case for Bitcoin with Dan Morehead and Mike Novogratz
WBD257: Bitcoin Has Entered Phase 5 with PlanB, Jeff Booth & Preston Pysh