Bank Runs, Bailouts & Bitcoin with Caitlin Long
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Caitlin Long is the Founder and CEO of Custodia bank. In this interview, we discuss the events that have led to three banking failures within a week, one of which saw the biggest bank run on record. We talk about anti-crypto coordination involving the US government, the inherent instability of the traditional finance system and how this is another signal that the game is up.
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As the saying goes, to lose one bank may be regarded as a misfortune, to lose two banks looks like carelessness. How should we regard the loss of three banks within a week? To the uninitiated, this may look like a contagion, but it’s the impacts of two different systemic problems affecting two different markets: crypto and fiat. What it lays bare is the hypocrisy and instability of the traditional financial system.
The failures of Silvergate and Signature are rooted in the 2022 implosion in crypto. Precipitated by the collapse of Luna, we all know what followed: a nest of over-leveraged, hypothecated and fraudulent investments that fell like a house of cards. Who knows when it will end. Regardless, more recent failures seem to have been expedited by coordinated government action.
The obvious signal from the levers of power is that crypto is bad, and traditional finance is good. But what should have been an opportunity for the government to present the perceived weaknesses within digital asset markets, was significantly undercut by the biggest bank run in history: Silicon Valley Bank’s customers were withdrawing more than $1 million per second for 10 hours straight a little over a week ago.
The sorry mess is actually a clear vindication of Bitcoiners' assertions that both crypto and fiat are both fundamentally unstable. The search for yield is endemic. The management of risk is too often criminally deficient. The argument is that narrow banking (full reserve banking) will suck deposits from risky banks, making risky banks even riskier, increasing systemic risk.
However, the system is becoming increasingly dysfunctional. Moral hazard seems endemic. Increasingly large bailouts are being used to keep the game going. The aim is to maintain the illusion that the financial system is stable. It is anything but, and everyone knows it. We’re entering a period on unknown risks. The time to change the rules of the game has long passed.
00:02:09: Introductions
00:04:37: Silvergate
00:09:00: Signature and Silicon Valley Bank
00:16:34: How banks are making money
00:25:57: Silicon Valley Bank's strategy
00:30:30: Failure of Dodd-Frank Act
00:36:25: Tighter regulations on the banks
00:42:14: Narrow banks vs SPDI banks
00:50:44: Ownership of the Fed, and push to nationalise banks
00:54:15: Signature
00:57:54: QE to Infinity
01:02:02: Final comments
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Mentioned in the interview:
What the failures of Signature, SVB and Silvergate mean for the crypto sector - CNBC, Mar 12th 2023
United States Fed Funds Rate - 2023 Data - Trading Economics
Analysis: SVB collapse unleashes Treasury volatility, whiplashing investors - Reuters, Mar 14th 2023
Crypto Faces a Banking Crisis. For Some, It’s a Conspiracy - Wired, Mar 16th 2023
“END OF QT incoming…” - Caitlin Long (@CaitlinLong_) via Twitter, Mar 11th 2023
Special Purpose Depository Institutions - Wyoming Banking Division
These companies were affected by the Silicon Valley Bank crash - Washington Post, Mar 13th 2023
March 2023 Newsletter: A Look at Bank Solvency - Lyn Alden, Mar 13th 2023
Custodia Bank was blindsided by Fed rejection, CEO Long says - Axois, Jan 31st 2023
Basel III: What It Is, Capital Requirements, and Implementation - Investopedia, Jul 2022
Dodd-Frank Act: What It Does, Major Components, Criticisms - Investopedia, Sep 2022
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